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Route on-time record

BDL to MCO: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Hartford (Bradley International Airport) to Orlando (Orlando International Airport). 1,897 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 74% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.9% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Southwest 477 at 5:20 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

BDL → MCO

Hartford to Orlando: 1,897 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

74%

Cancelled

1.9%

avg delay 20 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

88% on time vs 60% 3 to 6 PM

Most reliable airline

Southwest

79% chance on time

Check BDL to MCO fares

Lowest nonstop fare seen in the next two months: $145 (JetBlue 737 on 2026-11-07). Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Southwest 477

    5:20 AM → 8:10 AM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    92%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    96%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 96% of the time (56 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 56 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 60%).
    • Short track record (56 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 56 flights

    Find Southwest 477 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  2. #2 · Southwest 3262

    6:15 AM → 9:15 AM3h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-06.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    8 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 60%).
    • Short track record (33 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find Southwest 3262 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  3. #3 · Southwest 310

    9:35 AM → 12:25 PM2h 50m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    100%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    4 min
    • Arrived on time 100% of the time (8 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Short track record (8 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 8 flights

    Find Southwest 310 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  4. #4 · JetBlue 737

    6:00 AM → 8:57 AM2h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    1.7%
    Avg arrival delay
    9 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (347 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 88% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 60%).

    Strong track record · 347 flights

    Find JetBlue 737 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  5. #5 · Frontier 2769

    8:42 PM → 11:51 PM3h 09m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    1.4%
    Avg arrival delay
    31 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (69 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • 88% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 69 flights

    Find Frontier 2769 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  6. #6 · Southwest 1336

    3:45 PM → 6:40 PM2h 55m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-30.

    70%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    57%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 57% of the time (7 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 60% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (7 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 7 flights

    Find Southwest 1336 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  7. #7 · JetBlue 2937

    1:44 PM → 4:35 PM2h 59m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    69%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    79%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    14 min
    • Arrived on time 79% of the time (33 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 33 scheduled flights.
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • 52% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Limited track record · 33 flights

    Find JetBlue 2937 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  8. #8 · JetBlue 37

    10:05 AM → 1:09 PM3h 04m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-27.

    68%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    68%
    Cancelled
    2.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    27 min
    • Arrived on time 68% of the time (269 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Lands inside MCO's trouble window: 76% of its 89 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 269 flights

    Find JetBlue 37 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  9. #9 · Southwest 479

    4:50 PM → 7:50 PM3h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-29.

    66%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    64%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 64% of the time (39 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 39 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 60% on time; Before 9 AM: 88%).
    • Short track record (39 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 39 flights

    Find Southwest 479 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
  10. #10 · Frontier 1683

    8:08 PM → 11:22 PM3h 14m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-25.

    64%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    66%
    Cancelled
    3.2%
    Avg arrival delay
    33 min
    • Arrived on time 66% of the time (152 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Cancelled 3.2% of the time (5 of 157).
    • 76% of its delay minutes came from the plane arriving late from an earlier flight.

    Moderate track record · 152 flights

    Find Frontier 1683 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Southwest Airlines79%

    652 flights · 81% on time as flown · 1.4% cancel

  • JetBlue70%

    1,009 flights · 71% on time as flown · 2.1% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines69%

    227 flights · 70% on time as flown · 2.3% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM88%

    665 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • 9 AM to noon82%

    242 flights · avg delay 15 min

  • Noon to 3 PM69%

    220 flights · avg delay 27 min

  • 3 to 6 PM60%

    492 flights · avg delay 30 min

  • 6 to 9 PM64%

    252 flights · avg delay 30 min

Best day: Wednesday (80%). Worst: Sunday (67%).

Smarter routing

Nearby airports that run more on time

  • ORH → MCO 75% chance on time

    Worcester Regional Airport to Orlando International Airport · 362 flights a year · 47 mi from your airports · yours: 73%

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
69
F
73
M
74
A
79
M
79
J
64
J
61
A
69
S
81
O
83
N
83
D
71

What delays this route

  • Late-arriving aircraft48%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume33%
  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)19%
  • Severe weather1%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

BDL to MCO questions

What time of day is best to fly BDL to MCO?
Before 9 AM: 88% of flights arrived on time, against 60% for departures 3 to 6 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from BDL to MCO?
Southwest, with a season-adjusted 79% chance of operating and arriving on time over 652 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on BDL to MCO?
July (61% on time); the best was October (83%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from BDL

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops