Route on-time record
AZA to FSD: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Mesa (Mesa Gateway Airport) to Sioux Falls (Sioux Falls Regional Airport). 371 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 84% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Allegiant 2264 at 9:00 AM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
AZA → FSD
Mesa to Sioux Falls: 371 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
84%
Cancelled
0.5%
avg delay 10 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
98% on time vs 76% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
Allegiant
83% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · Allegiant 2264
9:00 AM → 1:36 PM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19.
85%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 86%
- Cancelled
- 2.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 6 min
- Arrived on time 86% of the time (35 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's most on-time window (9 AM to noon: 98% on time; 3 to 6 PM: 76%).
- Short track record (35 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 35 flights
Find Allegiant 2264 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · Allegiant 677
3:53 PM → 8:32 PM2h 39m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-05.
81%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 87%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 5 min
- Arrived on time 87% of the time (15 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 76% on time; 9 AM to noon: 98%).
- Short track record (15 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 15 flights
Find Allegiant 677 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#3 · Allegiant 694
3:44 PM → 8:20 PM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-17.
79%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 79%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 7 min
- Arrived on time 79% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 76% on time; 9 AM to noon: 98%).
- Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find Allegiant 694 fares Opens this date on Aviasales#4 · Allegiant 686
4:09 PM → 8:45 PM2h 36m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-18.
76%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 71%
- Cancelled
- 0.0%
- Avg arrival delay
- 14 min
- Arrived on time 71% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Leaves in this route's least on-time window (3 to 6 PM: 76% on time; 9 AM to noon: 98%).
- Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.
Limited track record · 28 flights
Find Allegiant 686 fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- Allegiant Air83%
371 flights · 84% on time as flown · 0.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM90%
125 flights · avg delay 7 min
- 9 AM to noon98%
40 flights · avg delay 1 min
- 3 to 6 PM76%
184 flights · avg delay 14 min
Best day: Tuesday (94%). Worst: Friday (81%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)46%
- Late-arriving aircraft23%
- Air traffic control and airport volume22%
- Severe weather9%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
AZA to FSD questions
- What time of day is best to fly AZA to FSD?
- 9 AM to noon: 98% of flights arrived on time, against 76% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from AZA to FSD?
- Allegiant, with a season-adjusted 83% chance of operating and arriving on time over 371 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on AZA to FSD?
- August (78% on time); the best was October (93%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from AZA
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops