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Route on-time record

ATL to XNA: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Atlanta (Hartsfield Jackson Atlanta International Airport) to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers (Northwest Arkansas National Airport). 1,029 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 80% arrived within 15 minutes and 2.0% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 3780 at 9:52 PM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ATL → XNA

Atlanta to Fayetteville/Springdale/Rogers: 1,029 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

2.0%

avg delay 22 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

84% on time vs 74% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

81% chance on time

Check ATL to XNA fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · SkyWest 3780 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    9:52 PM → 10:53 PM2h 01m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    80%
    Cancelled
    4.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    19 min
    • Arrived on time 80% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find 9:52 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · SkyWest 3747 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    10:15 AM → 11:15 AM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    79%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    82%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    13 min
    • Arrived on time 82% of the time (34 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 34 scheduled flights.
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (34 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 34 flights

    Find 10:15 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · SkyWest 3744 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    10:55 PM → 11:57 PM2h 02m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 3753; its record covers all of them.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    78%
    Cancelled
    1.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    40 min
    • Arrived on time 78% of the time (102 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Moderate track record · 102 flights

    Find 10:55 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · SkyWest 4139 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    7:37 PM → 8:38 PM2h 01m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-19. Same departure also flew as SkyWest 3758; its record covers all of them.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (28 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 74% on time; Before 9 AM: 84%).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (28 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 28 flights

    Find 7:37 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · SkyWest 3787 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    8:05 AM → 9:05 AM2h 00m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    75%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    69%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 69% of the time (36 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 36 scheduled flights.
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 84% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 74%).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Limited track record · 36 flights

    Find 8:05 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · SkyWest 3643 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    10:25 AM → 11:30 AM2h 05m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-06.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    67%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    32 min
    • Arrived on time 67% of the time (12 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Short track record (12 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 12 flights

    Find 10:25 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · SkyWest 3761 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    1:59 PM → 2:55 PM1h 56m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    73%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    72%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    21 min
    • Arrived on time 72% of the time (25 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside ATL's trouble window: 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (25 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 25 flights

    Find 1:59 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · SkyWest 3811 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska

    5:31 PM → 6:29 PM1h 58m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-04-12.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    70%
    Cancelled
    4.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 70% of the time (20 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside ATL's trouble window: 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Short track record (20 flights), so its score leans on the airline's record at this hour.

    Limited track record · 20 flights

    Find 5:31 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines81%

    392 flights · 84% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel

  • SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)76%

    637 flights · 77% on time as flown · 2.4% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM84%

    210 flights · avg delay 11 min

  • 9 AM to noon80%

    102 flights · avg delay 22 min

  • Noon to 3 PM79%

    150 flights · avg delay 13 min

  • 3 to 6 PM74%

    131 flights · avg delay 18 min

  • 6 to 9 PM74%

    220 flights · avg delay 31 min

  • After 9 PM84%

    216 flights · avg delay 32 min

Best day: Wednesday (87%). Worst: Monday (82%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
82
F
87
M
82
A
89
M
80
J
85
J
76
A
84
S
87
O
90
N
90
D
83

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)72%
  • Severe weather13%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume10%
  • Late-arriving aircraft4%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

Finding the most reliable connections from ATL to XNA…

ATL to XNA questions

What time of day is best to fly ATL to XNA?
Before 9 AM: 84% of flights arrived on time, against 74% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from ATL to XNA?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 81% chance of operating and arriving on time over 392 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ATL to XNA?
July (76% on time); the best was October (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ATL

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops