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Route on-time record

ATL to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly

Atlanta (Hartsfield Jackson Atlanta International Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 3,527 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 80% arrived within 15 minutes and 0.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was Delta 2668 at 7:30 AM.

Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.

ATL → MSP

Atlanta to Minneapolis: 3,527 nonstop flights a year

On time (12 months)

80%

Cancelled

0.5%

avg delay 12 min

Best time to leave

Before 9 AM

90% on time vs 67% 6 to 9 PM

Most reliable airline

Delta

81% chance on time

Check ATL to MSP fares

Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.

Most reliable nonstop flights

Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.

  1. #1 · Delta 2668

    7:30 AM → 9:12 AM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    91%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    91%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 91% of the time (361 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 67%).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 361 flights

    Find Delta 2668 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  2. #2 · Delta 2960

    8:35 AM → 10:15 AM2h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    89%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    5 min
    • Arrived on time 89% of the time (325 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's most on-time window (Before 9 AM: 90% on time; 6 to 9 PM: 67%).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 325 flights

    Find Delta 2960 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  3. #3 · Delta 2090

    10:05 AM → 11:54 AM2h 44m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    89%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    90%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    6 min
    • Arrived on time 90% of the time (236 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 236 flights

    Find Delta 2090 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  4. #4 · Delta 2901

    12:15 PM → 1:50 PM2h 35m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    86%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    86%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    7 min
    • Arrived on time 86% of the time (362 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 362 flights

    Find Delta 2901 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  5. #5 · Delta 2825

    1:15 PM → 2:51 PM2h 36m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    83%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    84%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    11 min
    • Arrived on time 84% of the time (340 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside ATL's trouble window: 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 340 flights

    Find Delta 2825 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  6. #6 · Delta 1310

    10:45 PM → 12:29 AM2h 38m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    77%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    77%
    Cancelled
    0.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    15 min
    • Arrived on time 77% of the time (362 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 362 flights

    Find Delta 1310 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  7. #7 · Delta 2654

    5:10 PM → 6:54 PM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    74%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    0.0%
    Avg arrival delay
    17 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (351 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Never cancelled in 351 scheduled flights.
    • Departs inside ATL's trouble window: 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.

    Strong track record · 351 flights

    Find Delta 2654 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  8. #8 · Delta 2981

    3:58 PM → 5:40 PM2h 42m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    72%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    73%
    Cancelled
    0.3%
    Avg arrival delay
    16 min
    • Arrived on time 73% of the time (324 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs inside ATL's trouble window: 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started between 1 PM and 7 PM.
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Strong track record · 324 flights

    Find Delta 2981 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  9. #9 · Delta 1280

    7:08 PM → 8:53 PM2h 40m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    67%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    66%
    Cancelled
    0.6%
    Avg arrival delay
    25 min
    • Arrived on time 66% of the time (335 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Leaves in this route's least on-time window (6 to 9 PM: 67% on time; Before 9 AM: 90%).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).

    Strong track record · 335 flights

    Find Delta 1280 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

  10. #10 · Frontier 3045

    11:52 AM → 1:37 PM2h 45m nonstop

    Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.

    65%

    chance on time

    On time (history)
    66%
    Cancelled
    1.8%
    Avg arrival delay
    18 min
    • Arrived on time 66% of the time (163 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
    • Departs outside ATL's trouble window (1 PM to 7 PM, when 59% of its 96 ground stops and delay programs started).
    • Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.

    Moderate track record · 163 flights

    Find Frontier 3045 fares Opens this date on Aviasales

Airlines on this route

Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.

  • Delta Air Lines81%

    3,219 flights · 81% on time as flown · 0.4% cancel

  • Spirit Airlines76%

    142 flights · 76% on time as flown · 0.6% cancel

  • Frontier Airlines69%

    166 flights · 66% on time as flown · 1.2% cancel

On time by departure time

All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.

  • Before 9 AM90%

    804 flights · avg delay 7 min

  • 9 AM to noon84%

    512 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • Noon to 3 PM85%

    720 flights · avg delay 9 min

  • 3 to 6 PM72%

    731 flights · avg delay 17 min

  • 6 to 9 PM67%

    355 flights · avg delay 24 min

  • After 9 PM76%

    405 flights · avg delay 16 min

Best day: Wednesday (86%). Worst: Friday (80%).

On time by month

All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.

J
84
F
84
M
83
A
85
M
79
J
73
J
71
A
79
S
90
O
89
N
87
D
79

What delays this route

  • Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)49%
  • Late-arriving aircraft25%
  • Air traffic control and airport volume17%
  • Severe weather9%

Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.

Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure

ATL to MSP questions

What time of day is best to fly ATL to MSP?
Before 9 AM: 90% of flights arrived on time, against 67% for departures 6 to 9 PM. Later flights inherit delays from earlier ones, so the first departures of the day usually run best.
Which airline is most on time from ATL to MSP?
Delta, with a season-adjusted 81% chance of operating and arriving on time over 3,219 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
What is the worst month for delays on ATL to MSP?
July (71% on time); the best was September (90%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
Is this a prediction for my flight?
No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.

More routes from ATL

Live status: FAA delays and ground stops