Route on-time record
ABR to MSP: most on-time flights and the best time to fly
Aberdeen (Aberdeen Regional Airport) to Minneapolis (Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport / Wold–Chamberlain Field). 754 nonstop flights in Jun 2025 to May 2026, 90% arrived within 15 minutes and 1.5% were cancelled. The most reliable flight number was SkyWest 4262 at 2:45 PM.
Flying on a specific date? We’ll adjust for the month, the weekday and the forecast.
ABR → MSP
Aberdeen to Minneapolis: 754 nonstop flights a year
On time (12 months)
90%
Cancelled
1.5%
avg delay 17 min
Best time to leave
9 AM to noon
100% on time vs 88% 3 to 6 PM
Most reliable airline
SkyWest
89% chance on time
Fares open on our travel partner (Aviasales). Pick the flight number you chose here.
Most reliable nonstop flights
Ranked by the chance the flight operates and arrives within 15 minutes of schedule, from Jun 2025 to May 2026 records.
#1 · SkyWest 4262 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
2:45 PM → 4:00 PM1h 13m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 90%
- Cancelled
- 1.9%
- Avg arrival delay
- 13 min
- Arrived on time 90% of the time (353 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
- Lands inside MSP's trouble window: 71% of its 17 ground stops and delay programs started between noon and 6 PM.
Strong track record · 353 flights
Find 2:45 PM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales#2 · SkyWest 4238 · sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska
6:30 AM → 7:44 AM1h 17m nonstop
Local times, typical schedule. Last flown 2026-05-31.
88%
chance on time
- On time (history)
- 89%
- Cancelled
- 0.8%
- Avg arrival delay
- 23 min
- Arrived on time 89% of the time (362 flights, Jun 2025 to May 2026).
Strong track record · 362 flights
Find 6:30 AM flight fares Opens this date on Aviasales
Airlines on this route
Season-adjusted chance of operating and arriving on time.
- SkyWest Airlines (sold as United Express, Delta Connection, American Eagle or Alaska)89%
754 flights · 90% on time as flown · 1.5% cancel
On time by departure time
All airlines, scheduled local departure, Jun 2025 to May 2026.
- Before 9 AM89%
364 flights · avg delay 23 min
- 9 AM to noon100%
30 flights · avg delay 0 min
- Noon to 3 PM90%
296 flights · avg delay 11 min
- 3 to 6 PM88%
64 flights · avg delay 23 min
Best day: Saturday (89%). Worst: Monday (84%).
On time by month
All airlines, Jun 2023 to May 2026. Several years per month, so one stormy season doesn't define a month. Travel-month estimates use this seasonal pattern.
What delays this route
- Airline (crew, maintenance, boarding)81%
- Severe weather16%
- Air traffic control and airport volume2%
- Security1%
Share of delay minutes by the cause airlines report to the US DOT.
Historical odds, not a guarantee. Built from the US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time reports (Jun 2025 to May 2026), FAA ground stop and delay program advisories, and 20 years of airport weather observations. Covers US airlines that report to the DOT; schedules are flights operated recently, so confirm times when you book. ATIS Alerts is not affiliated with any airline. Fares are what Aviasales travelers saw in recent searches (USD, one way, 1 adult), not live quotes; the partner site shows the current price. Fare links go to our travel partner and may earn us a commission at no cost to you. Affiliate disclosure
ABR to MSP questions
- What time of day is best to fly ABR to MSP?
- 9 AM to noon: 100% of flights arrived on time, against 88% for departures 3 to 6 PM.
- Which airline is most on time from ABR to MSP?
- SkyWest, with a season-adjusted 89% chance of operating and arriving on time over 754 flights. The adjustment compares each airline with what the route did in the months it flew, so a carrier that skipped a stormy month gets no free credit.
- What is the worst month for delays on ABR to MSP?
- December (79% on time); the best was October (92%), averaged over Jun 2023 to May 2026.
- Is this a prediction for my flight?
- No. These are historical odds from the US DOT on-time reports, FAA advisories and airport weather records. Check your flight status and the FAA delay board on the day you fly.
More routes from ABR
Live status: FAA delays and ground stops
